Alison Lundergan Grimes

Election guru Nate Silver is giving Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes a 20 percent chance of beating Senator Mitch McConnell in next year's election.

The Democrats hold a 54-46 majority in the Senate and are expected to regain the New Jersey seat later this year.

But the early speculation is Republicans will pick up at least three seats in 2014.  It's possible the GOP have enough to gain the majority, but Silver puts control of the Senate as a "toss-up" overall.

In regards to the Bluegrass, he says McConnell's seat could be vulnerable given his noted unpopularity, but the "fundamentals" favor the GOP leader over Grimes.

From FiveThirtyEight:

Kentucky. Senator Mitch McConnell, the Republican majority leader, has only break-even approval ratings, and Democrats got one of their better potential recruits in Alison Lundergan Grimes, the Kentucky secretary of state.

Flexing its financial muscle the campaign to re-elect Republican Sen. Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is reporting it raised $2.2 million in the second quarter.

The numbers haven't been reported with the Federal Election Commission, but campaign manager Jesse Benton confirmed the substantial amount with WFPL.

McConnell has now raised over $15 million in total and has close to $10 million on-hand as he seeks a sixth term in office.

A pair of Kentucky businesses linked to Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes failed to file their annual reports required by her office.

Earlier this week, Grimes's office announced over 156,000 companies complied with the July 1 deadline, but about 41,000—including two run by her father—had not.

From The Lexington Herald-Leader:

Grimes organized both businesses and has an ownership interest in one of them, but her father, former state Democratic Party Chairman Jerry Lundergan, took the blame Tuesday for missing the filing deadline.

Lundergan is listed as the sole officer for both businesses — Glenncase and GCL Properties — in filings with the secretary of state's office. Glenncase, in which Grimes has an ownership interest, involves 11-plus acres on New Circle Road. GCL Properties owns the Carriage House on Limestone Street.

Grimes, a Democrat, is seeking to run against Republican Mitch McConnell for U.S. Senate next year and the GOP is pouncing on this latest story.

Now that Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes has announced her intention to seek the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate, the speculation about how Grimes will campaign against Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell—and on what issues—has begun.  

From Mitch McConnell's perspective, the 2014 race for his U.S. Senate seat comes down to in large part to his influence and many years of experience in Washington, D.C.

US Senate

Though the election is 16 months away, Sen. Mitch McConnell has already launched a campaign against his prospective opponent, Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes – only 24 hours after she entered the race.

Kentucky Secretary of State/U.S. Senate

A conservative group is running a pre-emptive television ad attacking Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, who is pondering a possible campaign against Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.

The ad links Grimes to President Barack Obama by calling her the president's "cheerleader" in Kentucky.

Kentucky Secretary of State/U.S. Senate

A new poll shows Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell with a slight lead over two possible Democratic challengers in his 2014 re-election bid.

The Kentuckiana Wedding Planner

Former Miss America Heather French Henry has voiced her displeasure with a GOP statement calling her a "bottom-of-the-barrell pick" to run for U.S. Senate against Republican Mitch McConnell.

French Henry said in a blog post last week she'll make a decision on the race soon.

U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell and potential Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes are tied in a new poll of Kentucky voters, though state Republicans are calling the results a "sham."

The poll, by Public Policy Polling, stated that McConnell and Grimes were each supported by 45 percent of Kentucky voters. In April, a PPP poll showed Grimes trailing by 4 points. In December, she trailed by 7 points. 

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